BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Waverly-Shell Rock

Class: 3A Class Rank: 4 Conference: (11-2) Overall: (23-4) Overall Strength =   91.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2012 Home    W    93.85  60  52   4A  28 ( 9-13) Waterloo West           2.21      5.79                      
  2 11/30/2012 Home    L    88.51  46  49   4A  20 (11-12) Cedar Rapids Xavier    -3.12      0.12                      
  3 12/04/2012 Home    L *  72.49  54  65   2A   9 (19- 4) New Hampton           -19.15      8.15                      
  4 12/08/2012 Away    W    91.64  54  48   ZZ  30 ( 0- 1) LaCrosse Aquinas WI    -0.00      6.00  Wells Fargo Heartland SO
  5 12/11/2012 Home    W *  87.00  56  42   3A  39 ( 9-11) Waukon                 -4.64     18.64                      
  6 12/15/2012 Away    L    86.20  59  60   4A  30 (11-12) Waterloo East          -5.44      4.44                      
  7 12/18/2012 Away    L *  65.36  46  53 1 3A  44 ( 9-13) Charles City          -26.27     19.27                      
  8 01/05/2013 Home    W    99.95  70  50   3A  19 (19- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden        8.31     11.69                      
  9 01/08/2013 Home    W *  94.10  74  44   3A  51 ( 5-17) Oelwein                 2.46 *   27.54                      
 10 01/11/2013 Home    W *  95.98  55  39   3A  21 (14- 9) Decorah                 4.34     11.66                      
 11 01/12/2013 Home    W    93.22  63  41   3A  43 (10-12) Webster City            1.59     20.41                      
 12 01/15/2013 Away    W *  93.83  68  50   3A  39 ( 9-11) Waukon                  2.19     15.81                      
 13 01/18/2013 Home    W *  98.06  61  44   3A  18 (16- 6) Cresco Crestwood        6.42     10.58                      
 14 01/22/2013 Away    W * 101.32  60  45   2A   9 (19- 4) New Hampton             9.68      5.32                      
 15 01/25/2013 Home    W *  89.53  62  42   3A  44 ( 9-13) Charles City           -2.10     22.10                      
 16 01/26/2013 Away    W   108.08  47  40   4A  10 (20- 6) Cedar Falls            16.44     -9.44                      
 17 02/01/2013 Away    W *  80.93  60  46   3A  51 ( 5-17) Oelwein               -10.71     24.71                      
 18 02/02/2013 Home    W    91.64  66  62   ZZ  22 ( 0- 1) Tartan MN              -0.00      4.00                      
 19 02/04/2013 Away    W    79.36  66  58   3A  47 ( 8-15) LaPorte City Union    -12.28     20.28  was 12/21 now 02/04 
 20 02/08/2013 Away    W *  99.81  59  42   3A  21 (14- 9) Decorah                 8.17      8.83                      
 21 02/12/2013 Away    W *  89.89  55  49   3A  18 (16- 6) Cresco Crestwood       -1.75      7.75                      
 22 02/18/2013 Home    W *  87.53  61  43   3A  44 ( 9-13) Charles City           -4.10     22.10                      
 23 02/22/2013 Neutral W   102.36  60  39   3A  19 (19- 4) Iowa Falls-Alden       10.73     10.27  was 02/21 now 02/22 
 24 02/25/2013 Neutral W    87.99  65  55   3A  35 (16- 8) Clear Lake             -3.64     13.64                      
 25 03/05/2013 Neutral W    95.68  54  49 1 3A   8 (19- 6) Mount Pleasant          4.04      0.96                      
 26 03/07/2013 Neutral W   101.67  36  32   3A   1 (19- 8) Davenport Assumption   10.04     -6.04                      
 27 03/09/2013 Neutral W    98.22  48  41   3A   5 (20- 7) Harlan                  6.59      0.41                      
      Averages              91.64  58.0 47.4

Best game:  108.08 = 7 point win over Cedar Falls
Worst game:  65.36 = 7 point loss to Charles City
Team stdev:   9.35